Super Copa Gaúcha Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Caxias do Sul vs Gaúcho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
SAN
67%
21%
13%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAX
14%
23%
63%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | -3 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CAX
2 - 0
SJO
68%
19%
14%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LAJ
1 - 0
CAX
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Gaúcho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
GAU
2 - 0
GRE
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 1
GAU
64%
20%
16%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
GAU
1 - 0
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GAU
1 - 1
BOR
52%
22%
27%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SCA
0 - 1
GAU
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |