Caxias do Sul vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
52.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SCI
3 - 1
CAX
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
AOU
0 - 2
CAX
12%
18%
70%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
0 - 2
SCI
23%
26%
51%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
CAX
1 - 1
ECS
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAX
17%
24%
59%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
FLU
4 - 0
VOL
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2025 |
AGU
0 - 8
FLU
9%
22%
69%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
FLU
3 - 2
BAN
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 45 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
FLU
2 - 0
NOV
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
FLU
0 - 0
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |