Série D Brazil Final Stages Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Caxias do Sul vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
52%
26%
21%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
45%
29%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
0 - 0
CAX
32%
30%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
0 - 0
CEI
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
INT
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 1
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
FER
18%
27%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
FER
3 - 1
NAC
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 0
FER
22%
26%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FER
3 - 0
PRI
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | +1 |