Caxias do Sul vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
GRÊ
0 - 2
CAX
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
VIL
4 - 0
CAX
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CAX
0 - 0
MAD
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
CRA
0 - 1
CAX
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
CAX
1 - 0
MOG
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 1
CRA
54%
24%
23%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
DUQ
1 - 3
GRÊ
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
DUQ
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
DUQ
3 - 2
43%
25%
31%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
MAD
2 - 1
DUQ
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |