Caxias do Sul vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2012 |
OES
1 - 2
CAX
33%
29%
39%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 4
MAC
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SCI
2 - 1
CAX
77%
15%
7%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
SCI
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
GRE
3 - 1
CAX
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CHA
3 - 2
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CHA
29%
27%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
39%
24%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
57%
22%
21%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
CRZ
4 - 1
CHA
77%
15%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |