Caxias do Sul vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 3
SLU
72%
17%
11%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
YPI
4 - 2
CAX
22%
25%
53%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 0
CAX
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ECS
5 - 2
CAX
29%
27%
44%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
CAX
4 - 3
CAN
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
CRI
44%
25%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
CRI
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 2
AVA
26%
24%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
JEC
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
BRU
0 - 1
CHA
33%
25%
42%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |