Série D Brazil Final Stages Last 16
Global 0-0
Caxias do Sul vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
CAX
1 - 1
INT
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
INT
0 - 1
CAX
32%
30%
38%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
CAX
2 - 1
IND
58%
25%
17%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAC
4 - 0
CAX
25%
31%
45%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CAX
3 - 1
AIM
70%
20%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
CEI
3 - 0
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VIT
1 - 0
CEI
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
IPO
1 - 1
CEI
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CEI
2 - 0
URO
53%
26%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RDA
0 - 7
CEI
9%
21%
71%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | +1 |