Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
UNI
0 - 0
CAX
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
CAX
1 - 3
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2001 |
JEC
3 - 0
CAX
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2001 |
CAX
1 - 1
JMA
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
CAX
2 - 1
AME
49%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2002 |
BOT
2 - 1
REM
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 3
FFL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
GAM
5 - 0
BOT
41%
27%
33%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
BOT
0 - 2
PAR
50%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
SPO
1 - 2
BOT
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |