Caxias do Sul vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
63%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 0
BRA
30%
25%
45%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
AIM
0 - 1
CAX
38%
27%
36%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CAX
1 - 1
ECS
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
GRE
0 - 2
CAX
85%
12%
3%
|
52 | 87 | 35 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
CAX
2 - 1
SLU
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 0
VAS
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
RES
81%
14%
5%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
BOT
3 - 1
MAC
82%
14%
4%
|
76 | 47 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
VIT
0 - 2
BOT
6%
17%
77%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
MAD
2 - 0
BOT
7%
18%
76%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |