Super Copa Gaúcha Last 16
Global 2-1
Caxias do Sul vs APAFUT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
APA
0 - 1
CAX
13%
21%
66%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
PRS
0 - 3
CAX
15%
21%
65%
|
49 | 17 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAX
0 - 1
YPI
27%
25%
49%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
JUV
0 - 0
CAX
72%
20%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAX
1 - 0
APA
79%
14%
6%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
APAFUT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
APA
0 - 1
CAX
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 49 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
YPI
1 - 1
APA
78%
15%
7%
|
21 | 58 | 37 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
APA
0 - 1
JUV
7%
14%
79%
|
21 | 61 | 40 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
APA
4 - 0
CAC
69%
17%
14%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
PRS
2 - 3
APA
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |