Série D Brazil Final round Quarter-finals
Global 0-3
Caxias do Sul vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
URO
0 - 2
CAX
30%
30%
40%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
2 - 0
URO
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
CAX
57%
26%
17%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 0
POR
31%
29%
41%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CAX
1 - 1
JUV
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
4DE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
1 - 1
ABC
21%
26%
53%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ABC
3 - 2
RFC
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
RFC
1 - 1
ABC
29%
26%
45%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ABC
2 - 0
TRE
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |