Caxias Joinville FC vs XV de Outubro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
8.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
JUV
6 - 0
CAX
26%
23%
51%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
IMB
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
CAX
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ECB
1 - 1
CAX
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
XV de Outubro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
IMB
2 - 0
XVO
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2012 |
XVO
0 - 0
27%
25%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
TUB
2 - 0
XVO
64%
19%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
XVO
3 - 2
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 49 | 14 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
JUV
3 - 1
XVO
66%
20%
15%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |