Caxias Joinville FC vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1976 |
RIO
0 - 2
CAX
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1976 |
CAX
2 - 0
DES
64%
21%
14%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1976 |
FFL
1 - 0
CAX
42%
28%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 0
AVA
70%
19%
11%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1976 |
CAX
0 - 0
PAL
32%
27%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |