Caxias Joinville FC vs Operário PR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.8%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 0
CAX
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
CAX
0 - 1
CAL
81%
13%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
1 - 1
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
1 - 1
VAS
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 2
CAX
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Operário PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
CRI
4 - 0
OPE
63%
22%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 1
BRA
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |