Caxias Joinville FC vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CRI
7 - 0
CAX
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 1
JEC
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MAR
2 - 1
CAX
17%
21%
62%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
CAX
0 - 3
MAR
81%
13%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -2 |
| 22 Jan. 2006 |
JEC
4 - 0
CAX
21%
22%
57%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
MET
2 - 2
BRU
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 2
MET
42%
25%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2006 |
MET
2 - 1
CRI
29%
23%
47%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2006 |
CRI
1 - 3
MET
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2006 |
MET
0 - 0
MAR
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |