Caxias Joinville FC vs EC Juventude analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
DBO
2 - 2
CAX
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
JEC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
AVA
1 - 2
CAX
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
COT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
EC Juventude
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
COT
1 - 2
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1977 |
OPE
1 - 0
JUV
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |