Caxias Joinville FC vs Joacaba AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.7%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.2%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.3%
2.8%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TUB
1 - 0
CAX
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 3
HER
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAX
14%
19%
68%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BRU
5 - 2
CAX
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +8 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
2 - 2
MET
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Joacaba AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
JAC
2 - 2
HER
15%
20%
66%
|
9 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
XVO
3 - 0
JAC
77%
15%
9%
|
9 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
JAC
0 - 3
HER
11%
19%
71%
|
9 | 59 | 50 | 0 |