Caxias Joinville FC vs CFZ Imbituba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
CAX
13%
20%
67%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ECB
1 - 1
CAX
13%
19%
68%
|
60 | 31 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
TUB
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
CAX
17%
21%
61%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
CFZ Imbituba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
0 - 0
IMB
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
IMB
2 - 0
TUB
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
4 - 1
IMB
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
IMB
2 - 1
JUV
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 0
IMB
24%
22%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -2 |