Caxias Joinville FC vs Hermann Aichinger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
CAX
13%
19%
69%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 0
CAM
78%
15%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JAC
2 - 5
CAX
12%
19%
69%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
TUB
82%
12%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CAX
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Hermann Aichinger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 2
HER
33%
24%
43%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
TUB
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
HER
29%
24%
47%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
JUV
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
POR
4 - 1
HER
13%
20%
66%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |