Caxias Joinville FC vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 5
XVO
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 29 | 38 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
JUV
6 - 1
CAX
10%
17%
72%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 1
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
CAX
13%
19%
69%
|
68 | 27 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
XVO
70%
19%
12%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
HER
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
CAM
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
HER
1 - 1
HER
26%
24%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
HER
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |