Caxias Joinville FC vs Hercílio Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
4.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAX
14%
19%
68%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
BRU
5 - 2
CAX
31%
23%
46%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +8 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
2 - 2
MET
68%
18%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
CRI
7 - 0
CAX
40%
23%
37%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
CAX
1 - 1
JEC
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Hercílio Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
HER
2 - 1
XVO
73%
16%
11%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |