Caxias Joinville FC vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
XVO
1 - 0
CAX
13%
19%
68%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
0 - 4
JUV
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IMB
0 - 0
CAX
17%
21%
62%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
POR
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
3 - 0
CAX
19%
21%
60%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
TUB
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
TUB
2 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
JUV
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
JUV
48%
24%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |