Caxias Joinville FC vs Guarani de Palhoça analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
XVO
2 - 1
CAX
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 20 | 50 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
82%
13%
6%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
CAX
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
2 - 2
POR
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAX
12%
19%
70%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Guarani de Palhoça
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 3
HER
32%
24%
43%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2011 |
HER
0 - 0
GUA
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
0 - 1
JUV
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2011 |
POR
1 - 4
GUA
14%
19%
68%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
GUA
6 - 1
JAC
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 12 | 39 | 0 |