Caxias Joinville FC vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
DBO
2 - 2
CAX
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
JEC
72%
18%
10%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
AVA
1 - 2
CAX
35%
28%
37%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
GRE
4 - 0
SCI
36%
29%
35%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
GRE
2 - 0
JUV
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
JEC
1 - 1
GRE
15%
22%
63%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
GRE
4 - 0
COT
50%
28%
22%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ATM
0 - 0
GRE
49%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |