Caxias Joinville FC vs Porto SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
3 - 0
CAX
19%
21%
60%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
3 - 2
ECB
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 26 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2012 |
TUB
2 - 0
CAX
18%
20%
62%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
CAX
1 - 1
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 0
CAX
13%
18%
69%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Porto SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
POR
3 - 4
ECB
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
HER
3 - 2
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
30 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
POR
2 - 1
XVO
43%
23%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
IMB
1 - 0
POR
71%
18%
12%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2012 |
POR
0 - 1
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |