Caxias Joinville FC vs Porto SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.2%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
10.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.8%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.5%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
3 - 1
CAX
12%
19%
70%
|
72 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
JAC
88%
9%
3%
|
72 | 12 | 60 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TUB
1 - 0
CAX
12%
18%
70%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 3
HER
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 45 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
GUA
3 - 0
CAX
14%
19%
68%
|
74 | 49 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Porto SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 1
JAC
73%
17%
11%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
HER
5 - 0
POR
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
POR
2 - 0
XVO
57%
21%
22%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
HER
1 - 0
POR
77%
16%
8%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
POR
3 - 0
CAM
17%
21%
62%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | +9 |