Caxias Joinville FC vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
29.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 0
PPE
57%
21%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAX
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
POR
3 - 4
CAX
61%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
3 - 0
COT
40%
25%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
1 - 4
COR
39%
27%
35%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
GRE
4 - 0
COT
50%
28%
22%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
PAL
0 - 0
COT
57%
25%
18%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
COT
2 - 1
POR
54%
27%
19%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1976 |
COT
0 - 1
BOT
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
CAX
3 - 0
COT
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |