Caxias Joinville FC vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.3%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
SAO
2 - 1
CAX
18%
29%
54%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
COL
0 - 1
CAX
26%
26%
48%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
0 - 0
BRA
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1979 |
CRI
0 - 0
CAX
29%
25%
46%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
CAX
3 - 0
OPE
80%
14%
6%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
OPE
1 - 0
CHA
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
2 - 3
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
CAL
2 - 0
CHA
38%
28%
35%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1979 |
CHA
1 - 2
SAO
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
COL
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |