Caxias Joinville FC vs Camboriú FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
7.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
JAC
2 - 5
CAX
12%
19%
69%
|
69 | 19 | 50 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
1 - 1
TUB
82%
12%
5%
|
69 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HER
3 - 0
CAX
11%
18%
70%
|
70 | 44 | 26 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
XVO
2 - 1
CAX
8%
16%
77%
|
70 | 20 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Camboriú FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TUB
1 - 2
CAM
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
4 - 1
GUA
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
JUV
1 - 2
CAM
42%
24%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
CAM
5 - 0
POR
76%
15%
8%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
CAM
1 - 0
JAC
76%
15%
9%
|
48 | 20 | 28 | 0 |