Caxias Joinville FC vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
1 - 1
BAH
48%
24%
28%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
1 - 1
VAS
36%
25%
39%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 1978 |
VIT
0 - 2
CAX
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 1978 |
CAX
3 - 1
MAR
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1978 |
COR
0 - 0
CAX
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |