Caxias Joinville FC vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caxias Joinville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
CAX
3 - 3
OPE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SCI
1 - 0
CAX
74%
16%
10%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 2
GRE
34%
26%
41%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
CAX
0 - 0
JUV
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
CAX
48%
23%
29%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
AVA
0 - 0
SCI
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
AVA
2 - 0
COT
25%
25%
50%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AVA
0 - 1
OPE
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
AVA
2 - 1
GRE
25%
25%
50%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1977 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVA
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |