Caversham vs Wanaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
92.2%
Win probability
3.58
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.6%
5-0
8.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
12.5%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.8%
3-0
13.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
5.8%
1.8%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.5%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
GIA
5 - 3
CAV
10%
18%
71%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
CAV
0 - 0
DUN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
CAV
1 - 2
BAO
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -5 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
ROW
2 - 3
CAV
11%
16%
73%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
OTU
0 - 3
CAV
11%
17%
71%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Wanaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
WNK
2 - 1
ROW
17%
18%
65%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2020 |
MOS
7 - 0
WNK
86%
9%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
WNK
2 - 6
QUE
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
WNK
3 - 5
OTU
20%
20%
61%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
WNK
3 - 2
GER
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |