Caversham vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
EAU
0 - 1
CAV
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
TCU
0 - 1
CAV
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
CAV
3 - 0
CAN
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CAV
0 - 2
NAP
19%
21%
61%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 1
NSH
43%
26%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
1 - 2
NSH
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
2 - 1
EAU
67%
19%
15%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
3 - 0
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
TCU
0 - 4
MIR
27%
23%
51%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
3 - 1
MAN
61%
20%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |