Caversham vs Lower Hutt City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
7.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
CAV
3 - 1
MAN
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 9 | 48 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2003 |
MAN
3 - 1
CAV
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2003 |
DUN
0 - 1
CAV
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
CAV
0 - 2
MIR
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
EAU
0 - 1
CAV
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Lower Hutt City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
BIR
2 - 3
LHC
68%
19%
13%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | 0 |