Caversham vs East Auckland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
40.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 1
TCU
38%
25%
36%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
CAN
4 - 1
CAV
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NAP
1 - 1
CAV
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
NSH
0 - 2
CAV
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
CAV
1 - 1
CEN
46%
24%
30%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
East Auckland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
EAU
1 - 2
MIR
35%
24%
42%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
TCU
1 - 2
EAU
50%
24%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
EAU
3 - 2
CAN
52%
23%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 3
EAU
35%
25%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
EAU
2 - 2
NSH
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |