Cavaly vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.3%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
14.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
27.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavaly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
OUA
2 - 1
CAV
54%
27%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
VIO
50%
29%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 0
CAV
47%
29%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
GON
1 - 0
CAV
45%
30%
25%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
GON
31%
29%
40%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AIG
1 - 1
JUV
45%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
DON
1 - 2
AIG
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AIG
1 - 0
ROU
48%
25%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
AME
1 - 0
AIG
44%
28%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
AIG
0 - 2
ASM
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |