Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
6º
1º
42
3º
8º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 2
ATO
45%
27%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
PAC
1 - 2
CAV
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 2
CAV
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
CAV
2 - 1
YOR
52%
26%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 1
CAV
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
PAC
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
VAN
2 - 1
HFX
13%
22%
65%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
HFX
2 - 1
FOR
26%
28%
47%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 2
HFX
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
HFX
3 - 1
CAV
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |