Caudal Deportivo vs Avilés Stadium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
6º
6º
21
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
VAL
1 - 4
CAU
10%
20%
70%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAU
0 - 1
COL
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LUA
0 - 2
CAU
18%
23%
59%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CAU
3 - 0
UDL
22%
26%
52%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TUI
0 - 1
CAU
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Avilés Stadium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 1
LEA
9%
20%
72%
|
20 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 1
AVI
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 2
COV
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
AVI
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 3
SPB
12%
23%
65%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |