Chauchina vs Orgiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauchina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PMO
5 - 0
CAU
57%
19%
25%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAU
2 - 1
RAY
49%
21%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 4
CAU
19%
19%
63%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAU
4 - 0
CFC
56%
21%
24%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NAZ
1 - 7
CAU
23%
20%
57%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Orgiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ORG
2 - 4
CDD
34%
21%
46%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
HVB
7 - 1
ORG
51%
21%
28%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ORG
2 - 4
CDI
39%
21%
41%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDP
3 - 1
ORG
41%
23%
37%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ORG
5 - 1
LAP
50%
19%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |