Chauchina vs Fuente Vaqueros 2014 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
20.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chauchina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAU
0 - 2
CAS
34%
23%
44%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
PMO
3 - 0
CAU
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CAU
3 - 2
BEN
57%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CFL
4 - 1
CAU
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CAU
3 - 1
PAP
77%
15%
9%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fuente Vaqueros 2014
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
NAZ
4 - 2
FVA
46%
23%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
FVA
2 - 1
GUE
53%
21%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ATP
2 - 0
FVA
29%
23%
48%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FVA
4 - 1
JAY
62%
20%
19%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
FVA
4 - 2
BRA
51%
22%
27%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |