Caucaia EC vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 0
GUA
67%
19%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAU
28%
22%
50%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
2 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
5 - 0
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 2
FER
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
2 - 2
DEM
77%
16%
7%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
POA
1 - 1
TOM
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 2
TOM
10%
20%
70%
|
63 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 46 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
TOM
1 - 2
ATM
10%
21%
70%
|
63 | 90 | 27 | 0 |