Caucaia EC vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
61.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
20%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 1
FOR
3%
8%
89%
|
34 | 78 | 44 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
2 - 1
CAU
63%
19%
18%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
19%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
BAR
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
GUA
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
FLO
1 - 1
GUA
37%
23%
40%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAU
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
UNI
1 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |