Caucaia EC vs Guarani de Juazeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAU
28%
22%
50%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
2 - 0
PAC
44%
24%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
5 - 0
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
CAU
1 - 2
FER
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 0
CAU
91%
7%
2%
|
41 | 86 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Guarani de Juazeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAC
34%
24%
42%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 3
BAR
45%
25%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
CAU
5 - 0
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 0
GUA
70%
18%
12%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
IGU
5 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |