Caucaia EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
63.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
IGU
1 - 0
CAU
40%
23%
37%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2024 |
CAU
2 - 1
BAR
56%
22%
22%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
IGU
4 - 1
CAU
35%
23%
42%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
COR
1 - 4
CAU
33%
25%
42%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
CAU
3 - 1
FPI
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
FER
20%
23%
57%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 3
FLO
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
ASA
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FER
2 - 1
FER
45%
28%
28%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
FER
0 - 0
FER
44%
28%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |