Caucaia EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.5%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
67.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 1
CAU
39%
23%
37%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
1 - 0
MAR
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
IGU
1 - 2
CAU
41%
23%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAU
52%
21%
28%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
CAU
3 - 1
CRA
55%
21%
24%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FER
1 - 0
IGU
80%
14%
6%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
FER
4 - 0
CRA
84%
12%
4%
|
60 | 28 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2022 |
PAC
1 - 4
FER
13%
20%
68%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
ICA
83%
13%
4%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 1
FER
10%
22%
68%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |