Caucaia EC vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
67.7%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caucaia EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 4
CAU
68%
17%
15%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
CAU
0 - 0
PAC
30%
23%
48%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2020 |
GUA
2 - 0
FER
25%
25%
50%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
FER
1 - 1
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FER
2 - 2
CON
40%
26%
35%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
IMP
0 - 0
FER
50%
26%
24%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
TRE
2 - 0
FER
24%
26%
51%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |