Catuense vs Camaçariense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAT
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
CAT
0 - 1
GAL
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
YPI
1 - 1
CAT
28%
24%
49%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
CAT
3 - 1
SDJ
33%
25%
43%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
ITA
4 - 2
CAT
59%
21%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Camaçariense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
CAT
39%
24%
37%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
YPI
57%
21%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SDJ
2 - 1
CAM
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 1
GAL
22%
23%
56%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
CAM
0 - 1
BAH
34%
25%
41%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |