Catuense vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
3 - 3
JAC
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
GAL
3 - 0
CAT
64%
21%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 3
VIT
8%
17%
76%
|
46 | 78 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
VIT
1 - 1
CAT
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 3
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
JAC
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
CON
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
JAC
0 - 2
GLO
51%
24%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
GLO
1 - 3
JAC
48%
25%
28%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 1
COR
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |