Catuense vs Jacuipense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SDJ
2 - 1
CAT
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2014 |
BOT
2 - 2
CAT
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
1 - 1
BAH
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2014 |
CAT
4 - 0
FEI
56%
24%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
GAL
1 - 2
CAT
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Jacuipense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
BAH
0 - 0
JAC
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2014 |
JAC
2 - 2
SDJ
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
JAC
4 - 1
BOT
62%
21%
17%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
FEI
1 - 3
JAC
36%
25%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2014 |
JAC
1 - 0
SER
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |