Catar U23 vs Australia U23 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
63.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Catar U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
QAT
2 - 1
THA
39%
24%
38%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
QAT
1 - 1
EGY
17%
19%
64%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 1
KSA
16%
18%
66%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
QAT
2 - 1
KHM
64%
20%
16%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
QAT
1 - 0
MAS
44%
23%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Australia U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
UAE
0 - 0
AUS
13%
17%
70%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2025 |
AUS
2 - 1
CRO
12%
15%
73%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
AUS
16%
19%
66%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 3
AUS
18%
19%
63%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
KSA
1 - 3
AUS
48%
23%
30%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |